Preliminary 2009 data from the Uniform Crime Reports suggests that crime is down significantly from 2008. Across the country:
- Violent crime generally is down 4.4%;
- Murder is down 10%;
- Forcible rape is down 3.3%;
- Robbery is down 6.5%
- Aggravated assault is down 3.2%;
- Property crime generally is down 6.1%;
- Burglary is down 2.5%;
- Theft is down 5.3%;
- Motor vehicle theft is down 18.7%;
- Arson is down 8.2%.
Notably, most of the crime drop is occurring in cities with populations of over 1 million (murder down 13.4% and motor vehicle theft down 21.9% in these cities).
Perhaps of greatest interest to those who study the relationship between crime and incarceration, these crime drops are happening during a time when we may be seeing the first prison population declines in decades.
The FBI, which publishes the Uniform Crime Reports, is careful to note that the data are preliminary.