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Stanford Criminal Justice Center
Stanford Criminal Justice Center

Preliminary data suggests crime down

Preliminary 2009 data from the Uniform Crime Reports suggests that crime is down significantly from 2008. Across the country:

  • Violent crime generally is down 4.4%;
  • Murder is down 10%;
  • Forcible rape is down 3.3%;
  • Robbery is down 6.5%
  • Aggravated assault is down 3.2%;
  • Property crime generally is down 6.1%;
  • Burglary is down 2.5%;
  • Theft is down 5.3%;
  • Motor vehicle theft is down 18.7%;
  • Arson is down 8.2%.

Notably, most of the crime drop is occurring in cities with populations of over 1 million (murder down 13.4% and motor vehicle theft down 21.9% in these cities).

Perhaps of greatest interest to those who study the relationship between crime and incarceration, these crime drops are happening during a time when we may be seeing the first prison population declines in decades.

The FBI, which publishes the Uniform Crime Reports, is careful to note that the data are preliminary.

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